Russia is preparing for large-scale offensive operations in southern and eastern Ukraine in the summer of 2026. To execute these plans, the Kremlin intends to deploy strategic reserves that have been building up since last year.
This was reported by analysts at the Institute for the Study of War (ISW).
Experts emphasize that preparations for a summer campaign offer further proof that Moscow has no interest in ending hostilities and is committed to a military solution. However, the ISW questions the realism of the Kremlin's ambitions. Available reserves may prove insufficient to achieve strategic goals, as the Russian army continues to struggle with replenishing current losses.
Military analyst Konstantin Mashovets provided specifics on the potential timing and directions of the attack. According to him, the active phase could begin as early as late April 2026.
"Russian forces may focus their main efforts on the Slovyansk-Kramatorsk or Orikhiv-Zaporizhzhia directions," the expert noted.
Occupying forces are currently attempting to secure advantageous positions for a future push. However, the ISW observes that Russian troops remain bogged down in tactical tasks and have yet to demonstrate significant success on these sectors of the front.
It was previously reported that the US wants Ukraine to hold elections in May and reach a peace agreement by March.
